Skip to content
Back to event

KalshiKalshi· Politics

Will EPA publish a final interim SGAR decision before July 2027?

Chance

50%

Buy Yes

50¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

51¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 9 minutes ago. Ends Jul 1, 3:59 AM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share
How this market is decidedShow

If EPA publishes a Federal Register notice announcing a final interim decision for any of the four listed second-generation anticoagulant rodenticides before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. SGAR means second-generation anticoagulant rodenticide. An interim decision means an issued EPA interim registration-review decision following the proposed interim decision. A Federal Register notice announcing its availability is the qualifying publication; the full decision text need not be reproduced there. Publication for any one of brodifacoum, bromadiolone, difenacoum, or difethialone qualifies. A proposal, agency promise, docket upload without that Federal Register notice, or later final registration-review decision does not qualify. A ban or other policy outcome is not required.