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KalshiKalshi· Elections

Will Aperila Vaa Tiai win the 2026 Falealili 1 by-election?

Chance

5%

Buy Yes

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

96¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 10 minutes ago. Ends Sep 18, 2:00 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Latest trades

  • 2 hours agoBought no at 96¢$30
  • 2 hours agoBought no at 96¢$19
  • 9 hours agoBought no at 96¢$11
How this market is decidedShow

If Seumafaleupolu Aperila Vaa Tiai wins the 2026 Falealili 1 by-election, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.