Kalshi· Economics

Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 4.00% following the Fed's Jan 27, 2027 meeting?

Pays out if the result is above 4.

Chance

72%

Buy Yes

83¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

39¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 4 minutes ago. Ends Jan 27, 6:55 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks

Cost of a Yes share

If this happens, this happens tooWill the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 0.00% following the Fed's Jan 27, 2027 meeting?99¢
If this happens, this happens tooWill the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 0.25% following the Fed's Jan 27, 2027 meeting?99¢
If this happens, this happens tooWill the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 0.50% following the Fed's Jan 27, 2027 meeting?98¢
If this happens, this happens tooWill the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 0.75% following the Fed's Jan 27, 2027 meeting?98¢
If this happens, this happens tooWill the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 1.00% following the Fed's Jan 27, 2027 meeting?98¢
If this happens, this happens tooWill the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 1.25% following the Fed's Jan 27, 2027 meeting?97¢
If this happens, this happens tooWill the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 1.50% following the Fed's Jan 27, 2027 meeting?98¢
If this happens, this happens tooWill the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 1.75% following the Fed's Jan 27, 2027 meeting?97¢
If this happens, this happens tooWill the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 2.25% following the Fed's Jan 27, 2027 meeting?96¢
If this happens, this happens tooWill the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 2.50% following the Fed's Jan 27, 2027 meeting?97¢
If this happens, this happens tooWill the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 2.75% following the Fed's Jan 27, 2027 meeting?96¢
If this happens, this happens tooWill the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.00% following the Fed's Jan 27, 2027 meeting?93¢

Latest trades

9 minutes agoSold yes at 75¢$83
9 minutes agoSold yes at 78¢$2
9 minutes agoSold yes at 74¢$1
9 minutes agoSold yes at 74¢$6
9 minutes agoSold yes at 77¢$11
9 minutes agoSold yes at 77¢$5
9 minutes agoSold yes at 74¢$48
10 minutes agoSold yes at 70¢$4
10 minutes agoSold yes at 71¢$142
2 hours agoSold yes at 70¢$1

How this market is decidedShow

If the upper bound of the target federal funds rate published on the Federal Reserve's official website is greater than 4.00% following the Federal Reserve's Jan 27, 2027 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes. This market will expire the first 2:05 PM ET following the release of a Federal Reserve statement for their Jan 27, 2027 meeting or one week following the last day of that meeting.

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