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KalshiKalshi· Economics

Will the number of rate changes before 2027 be exactly 4?

Pays out if the result is 4 to 4.

Chance

1%

Buy Yes

1.4¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

99.9¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 6 minutes ago. Ends Jan 1, 4:59 AM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Latest trades

  • 35 minutes agoBought no at 99.9¢$3
  • 35 minutes agoBought no at 99.9¢$2
  • 35 minutes agoBought no at 99.9¢$2
  • 40 minutes agoBought no at 99.9¢$8
  • 40 minutes agoBought no at 99.9¢$1
  • 40 minutes agoBought no at 99.9¢$2
  • 1 hour agoBought no at 99.9¢$189
  • 1 hour agoBought no at 99.9¢$50
  • 1 hour agoBought no at 99.9¢$18
  • 1 hour agoBought no at 99.9¢$17
How this market is decidedShow

If the number of rate changes before 2027 is exactly 4, then the market resolves to Yes. A ‘rate change’ means a single decision that changes the target range, regardless of size (e.g., a 50 bp hike counts as one). A later 50 bp cut counts as an additional rate change.