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KalshiKalshi· Economics

Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their July 2027 meeting?

Chance

78%

Buy Yes

78¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

23¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 4 minutes ago. Ends Jul 28, 5:59 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Latest trades

  • 58 minutes agoBought no at 24¢$3
  • 5 hours agoBought no at 24¢$10
  • 6 hours agoBought no at 24¢$6
  • 6 hours agoBought no at 25¢$4
  • 6 hours agoBought no at 24¢$21
  • 6 hours agoBought no at 24¢$3
  • 7 hours agoBought no at 24¢$5
  • 7 hours agoBought no at 23¢$0
  • 7 hours agoBought no at 24¢$1
  • 8 hours agoSold yes at 79¢$8
How this market is decidedShow

If the Federal Reserve does a Hike of 0bps on July 28, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is mutually exclusive. Therefore, if the Federal Reserve hikes by 50bps, the 50bps market will resolve to Yes and the 25bps market will resolve to No. Only one bucket, at maximum, can resolve to Yes. Note 4/28/25: For the markets beginning after the May meeting, if a scheduled FOMC meeting is canceled and does not occur on its scheduled date, then the strike for "Fed maintains rate" will resolve to Yes and all others will resolve to No.