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KalshiKalshi· Economics

Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by 25bps at their June 2027 meeting?

Chance

15%

Buy Yes

22¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

91¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 9 minutes ago. Ends Jun 9, 5:59 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Latest trades

  • 9 hours agoBought no at 81¢$11
  • 9 hours agoBought no at 81¢$1
  • 9 hours agoBought no at 82¢$3
  • 2 days agoBought no at 82¢$2
  • 2 days agoBought no at 82¢$2
  • 2 days agoSold yes at 23¢$1
How this market is decidedShow

If the Federal Reserve does a Cut of 25bps on June 09, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is mutually exclusive. Therefore, if the Federal Reserve hikes by 50bps, the 50bps market will resolve to Yes and the 25bps market will resolve to No. Only one bucket, at maximum, can resolve to Yes. Note 4/28/25: For the markets beginning after the May meeting, if a scheduled FOMC meeting is canceled and does not occur on its scheduled date, then the strike for "Fed maintains rate" will resolve to Yes and all others will resolve to No.