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KalshiKalshi· Economics

Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their October 2027 meeting?

Chance

23%

Buy Yes

35¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

90¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 10 minutes ago. Ends Oct 27, 5:59 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Related markets

Latest trades

  • 8 hours agoSold yes at 38¢$1
  • 8 hours agoSold yes at 35¢$2
  • 8 hours agoSold yes at 46¢$7
How this market is decidedShow

If the Federal Reserve does a Hike of 25bps on October 27, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is mutually exclusive. Therefore, if the Federal Reserve hikes by 50bps, the 50bps market will resolve to Yes and the 25bps market will resolve to No. Only one bucket, at maximum, can resolve to Yes. Note 4/28/25: For the markets beginning after the May meeting, if a scheduled FOMC meeting is canceled and does not occur on its scheduled date, then the strike for "Fed maintains rate" will resolve to Yes and all others will resolve to No.