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KalshiKalshi· Economics

Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their September 2027 meeting?

Chance

31%

Buy Yes

48¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

87¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 13 minutes ago. Ends Sep 15, 5:59 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Related markets

Latest trades

  • 4 hours agoSold yes at 53¢$0
  • 4 hours agoSold yes at 48¢$0
  • 4 hours agoSold yes at 61¢$29
  • 4 hours agoSold yes at 33¢$33
  • 4 hours agoSold yes at 32¢$32
  • 4 hours agoSold yes at 31¢$0
  • yesterdaySold yes at 26¢$0
  • yesterdaySold yes at 26¢$4
  • yesterdaySold yes at 25¢$3
How this market is decidedShow

If the Federal Reserve does a Hike of 25bps on September 15, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is mutually exclusive. Therefore, if the Federal Reserve hikes by 50bps, the 50bps market will resolve to Yes and the 25bps market will resolve to No. Only one bucket, at maximum, can resolve to Yes. Note 4/28/25: For the markets beginning after the May meeting, if a scheduled FOMC meeting is canceled and does not occur on its scheduled date, then the strike for "Fed maintains rate" will resolve to Yes and all others will resolve to No.