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KalshiKalshi· Economics

Will there be more than 100000 government employees cut before Jan 2027?

Pays out if the result is above 100,000.

Chance

22%

Buy Yes

24¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

80¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 6 minutes ago. Ends Mar 4, 3:00 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Latest trades

  • 4 hours agoBought no at 80¢$6
  • 8 hours agoBought no at 80¢$0
  • 20 hours agoSold yes at 24¢$1
  • yesterdayBought no at 80¢$190
  • yesterdayBought no at 82¢$56
How this market is decidedShow

If there are more than 100000 federal employees no longer working relative to the December 2025 employee count before January 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. At the time of issuance, 2.738 Million Federal Employees are reported for the December 2025 figure.