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KalshiKalshi· Climate and Weather

Will Fay be the first named hurricane in the Atlantic in 2026?

Chance

37%

Buy Yes

38¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

63¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 2 minutes ago. Ends Dec 1, 3:00 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Latest trades

  • 3 minutes agoBought no at 63¢$8
  • 28 minutes agoSold yes at 37¢$7
  • 28 minutes agoSold yes at 37¢$11
  • 2 hours agoSold yes at 38¢$6
  • 2 hours agoBought no at 66¢$4
  • 3 hours agoBought no at 66¢$2
  • 5 hours agoBought no at 66¢$2
  • 20 hours agoSold yes at 40¢$7
  • 20 hours agoSold yes at 38¢$7
  • 21 hours agoBought no at 64¢$4
How this market is decidedShow

If a storm named Fay is the first storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. This market resolves Yes for the first named storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026. If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then all markets resolve to No.