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KalshiKalshi· Elections

Will James Fishback announce a run for any government office before Jul 1, 2027?

Chance

40%

Buy Yes

45¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

65¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 6 minutes ago. Ends Jul 1, 2:00 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share
How this market is decidedShow

If James Fishback announces after Issuance that they will run for any government office in ANY YEAR before Jul 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes. The person must publicly announce their campaign for it to be reported by a Source Agency. Merely filing campaign paperwork with the Federal Election Commission or similar entity is insufficient without a public announcement. Exploratory committees or statements of interest without formal campaign announcements do not qualify. Running for a party's nomination to contest the office counts as running for that office. The announcement must come from the person themselves or their official campaign, not from speculation or third-party sources. The announcement may concern any government office in any election year.