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KalshiKalshi· Elections

Will Marine Le Pen qualify for the runoff in the 2027 French presidential election?

Chance

81%

Buy Yes

84¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

23¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 3 minutes ago. Ends Apr 17, 2:00 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share
How this market is decidedShow

If Marine Le Pen is announced to qualify for the runoff in the 2027 French presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes. If a candidate wins the first round outright, and no runoff occurs, the market for that winning candidate will resolve Yes and all other markets will resolve to No. This is determined at the time qualification is announced; subsequent withdrawals, disqualifications, or changes in eligibility do not affect whether the candidate qualified. If a candidate is announced to not qualify, the market will immediately resolve to No.