Kalshi· Economics

Will real GDP increase by more than 1.5% in Q1 2027?

Pays out if the result is above 1.5.

Chance

64%

Buy Yes

66¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

38¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 4 minutes ago. Ends Apr 29, 12:29 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks

Cost of a Yes share

If this happens, this happens tooWill **real GDP** increase by more than 0.5% in Q1 2027?86¢
If this happens, yours happens tooWill **real GDP** increase by more than 2.0% in Q1 2027?55¢
If this happens, yours happens tooWill **real GDP** increase by more than 2.5% in Q1 2027?40¢
If this happens, yours happens tooWill **real GDP** increase by more than 3.5% in Q1 2027?22¢
If this happens, yours happens tooWill **real GDP** increase by more than 4.0% in Q1 2027?13¢

How this market is decidedShow

If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 1.5, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will close at 8:29 AM on the day of the expected release of the data. The market will expire at the first 10:00 AM following the release of the data for Q1 2027, or 3 months following that expected date of data release. Please note the Expiration Value is the one-decimal value published by the BEA.

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