Skip to content
Back to event

KalshiKalshi· Economics

GDP growth in 2030?

Pays out if the result is below 0.1.

Chance

10%

Buy Yes

11¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

92¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 2 minutes ago. Ends Feb 28, 1:29 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share
How this market is decidedShow

If the United States real GDP growth in 2030 is below 0.1%, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is based on the Bureau of Economic Analysis’s advance estimate of real gross domestic product (GDP) growth in the United States for calendar year 2030. The Expiration Value will be the first-published annual percent change in real GDP for 2030 from BEA’s GDP release, expected with the advance estimate of Q4 2030 GDP in early 2031. Revisions published after expiration will not be considered. All stated bounds are inclusive. For example, “5.6% to 6.0%” includes both 5.6% and 6.0%, “6.1% or above” includes 6.1%, and “0.0% or below” includes 0.0%.