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KalshiKalshi· Science and Technology

Will Google release next Gemini Pro model before Oct 16, 2026?

Chance

47%

Buy Yes

49¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

55¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 9 minutes ago. Ends Oct 16, 3:59 AM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Latest trades

  • 6 hours agoBought no at 55¢$3
  • 15 hours agoBought no at 53¢$2
  • 19 hours agoSold yes at 46¢$1
  • 19 hours agoSold yes at 46¢$7
  • 19 hours agoSold yes at 47¢$94
  • 19 hours agoSold yes at 47¢$60
  • 23 hours agoSold yes at 42¢$84
  • 23 hours agoBought no at 58¢$5
  • 23 hours agoSold yes at 44¢$1
  • 23 hours agoSold yes at 45¢$22
How this market is decidedShow

If Google releases next Gemini Pro model before Oct 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Release must be to the public, outside of a closed beta, though limiting it to a high-cost subscription tier is acceptable.