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KalshiKalshi· Politics

Will government spending decrease by 50 before 2026?

Pays out if the result is above 50.

Chance

4%

Buy Yes

5.9¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

98¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 4 minutes ago. Ends Mar 31, 3:00 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Latest trades

  • 22 hours agoBought no at 94.6¢$29
  • 23 hours agoSold yes at 5.8¢$1
  • 23 hours agoSold yes at 5.9¢$12
How this market is decidedShow

If government spending (FGEXPND) is at least $50 billion below the Q4 2024 level in any quarter through Q4 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Each quarter from Q1 2025 to Q4 2026 is compared against Q4 2024.