Kalshi· Economics

Will government spending decrease by $500 billion before 2028?

Pays out if the result is above 500.

Chance

Buy Yes

7¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

93.9¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 10 minutes ago. Ends Mar 31, 3:00 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks

Cost of a Yes share

If this happens, this happens tooWill government spending decrease by $250 billion before 2028?7.5¢
If this happens, yours happens tooWill government spending decrease by $1000 billion before 2028?4.8¢
If this happens, yours happens tooWill government spending decrease by $2000 billion before 2028?4¢
If this happens, yours happens tooWill government spending decrease by $750 billion before 2028?5.8¢

How this market is decidedShow

If government spending (FGEXPND) is at least $500 billion below the Q4 2024 level in any quarter through Q4 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Each quarter from Q1 2025 to Q4 2028 is compared against Q4 2024.

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