Kalshi· Economics

Will government spending increase by 500000000000 before 2027?

Pays out if the result is above 500,000,000,000.

Chance

33%

Buy Yes

36.8¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

71.2¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 4 minutes ago. Ends Apr 1, 3:00 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks

Cost of a Yes share

How this market is decidedShow

If government spending increases by at least $500 billion above the Q4 2025 level in any quarter during 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Each quarter during Q1 2026 to Q4 2026 is compared against the Q4 2025 baseline.