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KalshiKalshi· Politics

Will David Hearn be charged with a any charge related to the Lincoln Memorial Reflecting Pool crime before Oct 1, 2026?

Chance

4%

Buy Yes

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 13 minutes ago. Ends Oct 1, 3:59 AM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Latest trades

  • 18 hours agoBought no at 97¢$194
  • 18 hours agoBought no at 98¢$132
  • 18 hours agoBought no at 92¢$184
  • 18 hours agoBought no at 91¢$9
How this market is decidedShow

If David Hearn has been formally charged with any charge related to the Lincoln Memorial Reflecting Pool crime in federal after Issuance and before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Formal charges require the filing of a criminal complaint, information, or indictment with an appropriate court. Arrests without charges, being named as a target of investigation, civil lawsuits, and administrative actions do not constitute charges. Traffic violations that don't require court appearances and sealed charges that remain sealed through the deadline also don't count. If charges are filed and then dismissed before the deadline, the market still resolves to Yes. Pre-trial diversion agreements involving formal charges count as charges. For groups of individuals, charges against any member of the specified group trigger the criterion.