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Will the maximum temperature be <80° on Sep 18, 2026?

Pays out if the result is below 80.

Chance

38%

Buy Yes

39¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

63¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Vol 24h

$225

as Kalshi reports it · 33 fills

Spread

round tripThin

Prices from Kalshi, updated 12 minutes ago. Ends Sep 19, 5:00 AM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Latest trades

  • 2 minutes agoBought no at 63¢$1
  • 20 minutes agoSold yes at 38¢$1
  • 49 minutes agoSold yes at 38¢$10
  • 49 minutes agoSold yes at 38¢$0
  • 49 minutes agoSold yes at 38¢$0
  • 49 minutes agoSold yes at 38¢$4
  • 51 minutes agoSold yes at 38¢$2
  • 51 minutes agoSold yes at 38¢$0
  • 51 minutes agoSold yes at 38¢$1
  • 1 hour agoSold yes at 38¢$0

Rules

How this market is decided

If the maximum temperature recorded at New York City (CLINYC) for Sep 18, 2026, is less than 80° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes. Not all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the Weather Company. Reading weather data Preliminary Weather Company data may be subject to rounding and conversion differences from the final reported value. Use caution when interpreting preliminary Weather Company readings. If it is determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange that there is a material error in the initial non-preliminary publication, Expiration may be held until the publication of a non-materially-erroneous data revision or until the Expiration Date, whichever comes first. If no data is available at the end of this period, all markets will resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. Please note, a status of "Final" on weather.com/kalshi is provided for convenience only, and does not guarantee data to be error-free and thus exempt from the above.

Rule history

  1. First recordedNo changes since.

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