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KalshiKalshi· Politics

Will Pete Hoekstra be out as US Ambassador to Canada before Jan 26, 2027?

Chance

11%

Buy Yes

15¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

93¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 12 minutes ago. Ends Jan 26, 4:59 AM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share
How this market is decidedShow

If Pete Hoekstra leaves as US Ambassador to Canada before Jan 26, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Pete Hoekstra must have an actual departure date and vacate the role within the time period. For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role. This includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure and the natural expiration of a term. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. House of Commons petition e-7531 is NOT a resolution condition. Whether it is certified, presented, debated, answered or withdrawn has no bearing on settlement.