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KalshiKalshi· Politics

Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 30 after July 6, 2025 and before Jan 1, 2027?

Pays out if the result is above 30.

Chance

43%

Buy Yes

48¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

62¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 10 minutes ago. Ends Jan 5, 1:59 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Latest trades

  • 4 hours agoSold yes at 48¢$0
  • yesterdaySold yes at 50¢$106
  • yesterdaySold yes at 49¢$1
  • yesterdaySold yes at 49¢$14
How this market is decidedShow

If the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 30 after July 6, 2025 and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.