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KalshiKalshi· Politics

Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 20 from Sep 14, 2026 to Sep 20, 2026?

Pays out if the result is above 20.

Chance

4%

Buy Yes

4¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

97¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 1 minute ago. Ends Sep 22, 1:00 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Latest trades

  • 10 hours agoBought no at 97¢$291
  • 18 hours agoBought no at 97¢$192
  • yesterdayBought no at 95¢$188
  • yesterdayBought no at 95¢$784
  • yesterdayBought no at 95¢$166
How this market is decidedShow

If the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 20 from Sep 14, 2026 to Sep 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The Expiration Value is determined by identifying the highest single-day count from Sep 14, 2026 to Sep 20, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.