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Will Democratic win the House race for CA-30?

Chance

93%

Buy Yes

96.4¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

10¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Vol 24h

$6

as Kalshi reports it · 1 fills

Spread

6¢

round tripThin

Prices from Kalshi, updated 13 minutes ago. Ends Nov 3, 3:00 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Latest trades

  • 18 hours agoSold yes at 96.4¢$6

Rules

How this market is decided
Settled by Library of Congress. Contract terms (PDF)

If the House member sworn in for CA-30 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

Rule history

  1. First recordedNo changes since.

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