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Will Democratic win the House race for NC-04?

Chance

97%

Buy Yes

99.8¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

6.7¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Vol 24h

—

as Kalshi reports it

Spread

7¢

round tripThin

Prices from Kalshi, updated 6 minutes ago. Ends Nov 3, 3:00 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Rules

How this market is decided
Settled by Library of Congress. Contract terms (PDF)

If the House member sworn in for NC-04 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

Rule history

  1. First recordedNo changes since.

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