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Will Democratic win the House race for NY-01?

Chance

21%

Buy Yes

22¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

79¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Vol 24h

$55.8K

as Kalshi reports it · 25 fills

Spread

1¢

round trip

Prices from Kalshi, updated 1 minute ago. Ends Nov 3, 3:00 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share
Order book
Live from the venue feed · updated 1 minute ago

Buy Yes (bids)

  • 21¢214$45
  • 20¢59$12
  • 19¢50,200$9.5K
  • 14¢5,000$700
  • 12¢4,610$553

Sell Yes (asks)

  • 22¢2$0
  • 23¢106$24
  • 24¢3,000$720
  • 25¢78,000$19.5K
  • 28¢500$140
Spread
1¢
Mid
21.5¢
Microprice
22¢
Within 5¢
$9.6K · $60.9K
More money on NoImbalance -73%More money on Yes

Latest trades

  • 3 hours agoBought no at 79¢$12
  • 3 hours agoSold yes at 22¢$0
  • 3 hours agoSold yes at 23¢$5
  • 14 hours agoBought no at 78¢$156
  • 14 hours agoBought no at 79¢$158
  • 14 hours agoBought no at 76¢$152
  • 18 hours agoSold yes at 24¢$0
  • 20 hours agoSold yes at 24¢$6
  • 20 hours agoBought no at 78¢$14
  • 20 hours agoBought no at 78¢$6

Rules

How this market is decided
Settled by Library of Congress. Contract terms (PDF)

If the House member sworn in for NY-01 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

Rule history

  1. First recordedNo changes since.

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