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KalshiKalshi· Elections

Will Democrats win exactly 4 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Arizona?

Pays out if the result is 4 to 4.

Chance

15%

Buy Yes

19¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

88¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 12 minutes ago. Ends Nov 3, 3:00 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

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Latest trades

  • 8 hours agoSold yes at 18¢$13
  • 8 hours agoSold yes at 18¢$2
  • 9 hours agoSold yes at 18¢$5
  • 17 hours agoSold yes at 19¢$4
  • 17 hours agoSold yes at 18¢$0
  • 21 hours agoSold yes at 18¢$16
  • 22 hours agoSold yes at 18¢$2
How this market is decidedShow

If Democrats win 4 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Arizona, then the market resolves to Yes. Party affiliation is determined by the party under whose banner the candidate was elected, regardless of subsequent changes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner of every seat. See full rules for details.