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Will US housing starts for September 2026 be above 1.200M?

Pays out if the result is above 1.2.

Chance

74%

Buy Yes

74¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

27¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Vol 24h

$15

as Kalshi reports it · 2 fills

Spread

1¢

round tripThin

Prices from Kalshi, updated 10 minutes ago. Ends Oct 20, 12:29 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Latest trades

  • 17 hours agoBought no at 30¢$2
  • 19 hours agoBought no at 30¢$3

Rules

How this market is decided
Settled by Trading Economics, Bureau of Labor Statistics- Employment Situation, Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index. Contract terms (PDF)

If US housing starts for September 2026 is above 1.200M, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the "Housing Starts" figure reported in the U.S. Census Bureau’s New Residential Construction release for September 2026 (as displayed on Trading Economics). If the September 2026 release is delayed or rescheduled, the market will resolve based on the first official publication of the September 2026 Housing Starts value.

Rule history

  1. First recordedNo changes since.

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