Kalshi· Climate and Weather

Will Vance become a Category 3 hurricane?

Pays out if the result is 3 or more.

Chance

50%

Buy Yes

98¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

98¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 2 minutes ago. Ends Dec 2, 4:59 AM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks

Cost of a Yes share

How this market is decidedShow

If Vance reaches maximum sustained winds of greater than or equal to 111 mph, then the market resolves to Yes. Should the event occur prior to December 01, 2026, the market will expire at the first 10:00 AM ET following the occurrence of the event.