Kalshi· Climate and Weather

Will there be more than 4 hurricanes of category 1 or above in the Central Pacific in 2026?

Pays out if the result is above 4.

Chance

71%

Buy Yes

79¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

38¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 7 minutes ago. Ends Dec 1, 3:00 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks

Cost of a Yes share

If this happens, this happens tooWill there be more than 2 hurricanes of category 1 or above in the Central Pacific in 2026?—
If this happens, this happens tooWill there be more than 3 hurricanes of category 1 or above in the Central Pacific in 2026?—
If this happens, yours happens tooWill there be more than 5 hurricanes of category 1 or above in the Central Pacific in 2026?45¢

Latest trades

yesterdayBought no at 43¢$3

How this market is decidedShow

If more than 4 hurricanes of category 1 or above occur in the Central Pacific between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026 as confirmed by the National Weather Service or equivalent national weather service, then the market resolves to Yes.

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