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KalshiKalshi· Economics

Will the annual fixed rate for Series I savings bonds for November 1, 2026 through April 30, 2027 be above 0.8%?

Pays out if the result is above 0.8.

Chance

97%

Buy Yes

97¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 12 minutes ago. Ends Nov 2, 2:59 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share
How this market is decidedShow

If the annual fixed rate for Series I savings bonds issued from November 1, 2026 through April 30, 2027, as announced by the U.S. Department of the Treasury, is above 0.8%, then the market resolves to Yes. The “fixed rate” refers only to the annual fixed-rate component assigned to Series I savings bonds when issued. It does not refer to the semiannual inflation rate or the composite interest rate. The reported fixed rate will be used without rounding. Subsequent revisions or corrections published after the initial official announcement will not be considered