Kalshi· Economics

Will Illinois’s seasonally adjusted Purchase-Only FHFA HPI for Q4 2026 be above 327.38?

Pays out if the result is above 327.38.

Chance

94%

Buy Yes

94¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

7¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 11 minutes ago. Ends Feb 26, 2:59 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks

Cost of a Yes share

How this market is decidedShow

If the Illinois’s seasonally adjusted Purchase-Only FHFA HPI for Q4 2026 is above 327.38, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the index_sa value for Illinois (IL), year 2026, quarter 4, in FHFA’s quarterly state Purchase-Only House Price Index dataset. The market measures Q4-over-Q4 price change, not an annual average or calendar-year average. Resolution uses the first FHFA publication containing the Q4 2026 value; subsequent revisions do not affect resolution.