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Will the S&P 500 be above 7614.9999 on Sep 17, 2026 at 3pm EDT?

Pays out if the result is 7,615 or more.

Chance

70%

Buy Yes

96¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

57¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Vol 24h

$43

as Kalshi reports it · 3 fills

Spread

53¢

round tripThin

Prices from Kalshi, updated 22 seconds ago. Ends Sep 17, 7:00 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Latest trades

  • 36 minutes agoSold yes at 87¢$1
  • 4 hours agoSold yes at 78¢$1
  • 4 hours agoSold yes at 69¢$28

Rules

How this market is decided

If the S&P 500 index value on Sep 17, 2026 at 3pm EDT is above 7614.9999, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will close on September 17, 2026. The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after September 17, 2026. Pursuant to the Kalshi Rulebook, the Exchange has modified the Source Agency and Underlying for indices markets. See the rules for more information.

Rule history

  1. First recordedNo changes since.

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