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Will the S&P 500 be above 7634.9999 on Sep 18, 2026 at 4pm EDT?

Pays out if the result is 7,635 or more.

Chance

54%

Buy Yes

56¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

48¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Vol 24h

$362

as Kalshi reports it · 15 fills

Spread

4¢

round tripThin

Prices from Kalshi, updated 7 minutes ago. Ends Sep 18, 8:00 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Latest trades

  • 19 minutes agoSold yes at 54¢$79
  • 19 minutes agoSold yes at 54¢$16
  • 39 minutes agoBought no at 63¢$30
  • 39 minutes agoBought no at 62¢$19
  • 43 minutes agoBought no at 54¢$11
  • 43 minutes agoBought no at 57¢$1
  • 1 hour agoSold yes at 63¢$0
  • 1 hour agoSold yes at 62¢$9
  • 1 hour agoSold yes at 63¢$2
  • 1 hour agoSold yes at 65¢$5

Rules

How this market is decided
Settled by For example, Google Finance. Contract terms (PDF)

If the end-of-day S&P 500 index value on September 18, 2026 is above 7634.9999, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will close on September 18, 2026. The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after September 18, 2026. Pursuant to the Kalshi Rulebook, the Exchange has modified the Source Agency and Underlying for indices markets. See the rules for more information.

Rule history

  1. First recordedNo changes since.

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