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Will the S&P 500 be above 7649.9999 on Sep 18, 2026 at 4pm EDT?

Pays out if the result is 7,650 or more.

Chance

40%

Buy Yes

41¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

61¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Vol 24h

$402

as Kalshi reports it · 3 fills

Spread

2¢

round tripThin

Prices from Kalshi, updated 7 minutes ago. Ends Sep 18, 8:00 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Latest trades

  • 1 hour agoSold yes at 54¢$1
  • 1 hour agoBought no at 63¢$1
  • 3 hours agoSold yes at 49¢$196

Rules

How this market is decided
Settled by For example, Google Finance. Contract terms (PDF)

If the end-of-day S&P 500 index value on September 18, 2026 is above 7649.9999, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will close on September 18, 2026. The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after September 18, 2026. Pursuant to the Kalshi Rulebook, the Exchange has modified the Source Agency and Underlying for indices markets. See the rules for more information.

Rule history

  1. First recordedNo changes since.

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