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KalshiKalshi· Economics

Will Iran’s average daily crude oil production for September 2026 be at least 2.2M bpd?

Pays out if the result is 2.2 or more.

Chance

27%

Buy Yes

31¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

78¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 3 minutes ago. Ends Oct 13, 7:59 AM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share
How this market is decidedShow

If Iran’s average daily crude oil production for September 2026 is at least 2.2M bpd (million barrels per day), as reported in the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report published after the reference month, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is Iran’s crude oil production based on secondary sources, as shown in the OPEC crude oil production table. OPEC reports this figure in thousand barrels per day; for purposes of this market, [X] million barrels per day equals [X × 1,000] thousand barrels per day. Later revisions, corrections, or subsequent reports will not be considered.