Kalshi· Economics

Will U.S. imports from Iran for 2026 be greater than $5M?

Pays out if the result is above 5.

Chance

18%

Buy Yes

21¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

86¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 15 minutes ago. Ends Feb 1, 1:29 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks

Cost of a Yes share

How this market is decidedShow

If the "TOTAL 2026" value for Imports on the U.S. Census Bureau "Trade in goods with Iran" table (values in millions of U.S. dollars) for 2026 is greater than 5.0, then the market resolves to Yes.