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Sofia Lucia Marquez wins

Chance

50%

Buy Yes

51¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

51¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Vol 24h

$1

as Kalshi reports it · 1 fills

Spread

round tripThin

Prices from Kalshi, updated 4 minutes ago. Ends Oct 5, 12:00 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Latest trades

  • 12 hours agoBought no at 40¢$0

Rules

How this market is decided

If Sofia Lucia Marquez wins the Dias vs Marquez professional tennis match in the 2026 W15 Belem Round of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Dias vs Marquez professional tennis match in the 2026 W15 Belem Round of 16 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), all markets will resolve to $0.50. If a player withdraws or forfeits after a match has started, that player will resolve to No. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks). Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Rule history

  1. First recordedNo changes since.

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