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How many initial jobless claims will there be the week ending Sep 19, 2026?

Pays out if the result is 195,000 or more.

Chance

63%

Buy Yes

68¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

42¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Vol 24h

$29

as Kalshi reports it · 2 fills

Spread

10¢

round tripThin

Prices from Kalshi, updated 53 seconds ago. Ends Sep 24, 12:25 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Latest trades

  • 5 hours agoSold yes at 62¢$12
  • 6 hours agoSold yes at 63¢$6

Rules

How this market is decided
Settled by Department of Labor. Contract terms (PDF)

If there are at least 195,000 initial jobless claims for the week ending Sep 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Rule history

  1. First recordedNo changes since.

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