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KalshiKalshi· Politics

Will Steve Feinberg announce his departure or leave office as Deputy Secretary of Defense before Oct 1, 2026?

Chance

50%

Buy Yes

99¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

99¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 14 minutes ago. Ends Oct 1, 3:59 AM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share
How this market is decidedShow

If Steve Feinberg has either officially announced their intention to leave Deputy Secretary of Defense or has actually left Deputy Secretary of Defense after Issuance and before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. An "official announcement" means a statement by the person themselves, their authorized representative, or the official body governing the office that the person will be departing from the office. Such announcements must be reported by at least one Source Agency to be considered official. The announcement must not specify they are leaving in more than a year from the statement, in which case the market does not resolve to Yes. "Leaving office" means the person no longer holds the office in any capacity, including but not limited to: resignation (effective), termination, removal, impeachment and removal, recall, or the expiration of their term without renewal. Temporary absences such as medical leave, suspension with possibility of return, or delegation of duties while retaining the office do NOT constitute leaving office. Forced departures (termination, impeachment and removal, etc.) satisfy the Payout Criterion even without a prior announcement.