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KalshiKalshi· Politics

Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that a publicly scheduled commercial passenger flight carrying revenue passengers completes a nonstop trip between an airport in the United States and an airport in Lebanon before Jan 1, 2027?

Chance

10%

Buy Yes

13¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

92¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 3 minutes ago. Ends Jan 1, 4:59 AM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Latest trades

  • yesterdayBought no at 91¢$5
How this market is decidedShow

If a publicly scheduled commercial passenger flight carrying revenue passengers completes a nonstop trip between an airport in the United States and an airport in Lebanon after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity.