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KalshiKalshi· Science and Technology

Best AI this week

Chance

97%

Buy Yes

98¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 12 minutes ago. Ends Sep 21, 2:00 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Latest trades

  • 6 minutes agoSold yes at 98¢$25
  • 14 minutes agoBought no at $20
  • 36 minutes agoBought no at $0
  • 36 minutes agoBought no at $1
  • 41 minutes agoSold yes at 98¢$25
  • 51 minutes agoSold yes at 97¢$679
  • 51 minutes agoSold yes at 97¢$194
  • 1 hour agoBought no at $0
  • 1 hour agoSold yes at 98¢$3
  • 1 hour agoSold yes at 98¢$7
How this market is decidedShow

If Anthropic has the top-ranked LLM on Sep 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If two models are tied under Rank (UB), then the model with the highest Arena Score will win. If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most votes will win. If two models are still tied after that, the model that was released earlier will win. Important information: When checking the source for this market, check the 'Remove Style Control' toggle.