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KalshiKalshi· Science and Technology

Best AI in Sep 2026?

Chance

2%

Buy Yes

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

99¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 13 minutes ago. Ends Sep 30, 2:00 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Latest trades

  • 2 hours agoBought no at 99¢$333
  • 2 hours agoBought no at 99¢$990
  • 2 hours agoBought no at 99¢$990
How this market is decidedShow

If xAI has the top-ranked LLM on Sep 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If two models are tied under Rank (UB), then the model with the highest Arena Score will win. If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most votes will win. If two models are still tied after that, the model that was released earlier will win.