Will M2 money-supply growth for December 2026 be at least 6.5%?

If the M2 money-supply growth for December 2026 is at least 6.5%, then the market resolves to Yes. For purposes of this market, “M2 money-supply growth” means the year-over-year percent change in the seasonally adjusted M2 money stock for December 2026, calculated using FRED series M2SL. The year-over-year percent change will be calculated as follows: December 2026 M2SL divided by December 2025 M2SL, minus one, expressed as a percentage and rounded to one decimal place. This market will use the first value published by FRED for December 2026. Revisions released after the first publication of the December 2026 value will not be considered.