Kalshi· Economics

Will Manhattan’s overall office vacancy rate for Q4 2026 be below 18.0%?

Pays out if the result is below 18.

Chance

52%

Buy Yes

52¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

49¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 18 seconds ago. Ends Jan 31, 2:59 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks

Cost of a Yes share

How this market is decidedShow

If Cushman & Wakefield reports that Manhattan’s overall office vacancy rate for Q4 2026 is below 18.0%, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the Manhattan overall vacancy rate reported in Cushman & Wakefield’s Q4 2026 Manhattan Office MarketBeat, covering the overall Manhattan office market. Subsequent revisions will not affect resolution. For reference, the same metric was 21.1% in Q4 2025, 19.9% in Q1 2026, and 19.3% in Q2 2026.