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KalshiKalshi· Elections

Will AfD win the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election?

Chance

78%

Buy Yes

79¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

24¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 11 minutes ago. Ends Sep 20, 2:00 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Related markets

Latest trades

  • 3 hours agoSold yes at 79¢$6
  • 5 hours agoSold yes at 79¢$1
  • 5 hours agoBought no at 24¢$1
  • 5 hours agoBought no at 23¢$84
  • 5 hours agoBought no at 45¢$45
  • 5 hours agoBought no at 62¢$103
  • 5 hours agoBought no at 23¢$46
  • 5 hours agoBought no at 22¢$6
  • 5 hours agoBought no at 22¢$1
  • 5 hours agoBought no at 25¢$11
How this market is decidedShow

If AfD wins the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election, then the market resolves to Yes. For parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber. If two parties have the same number of seats, the one entering government will resolve to Yes and all others to No; if both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No. This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details.