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KalshiKalshi· Elections

Will Jay Obernolte win the House Minority Leader election for the 120th Congress?

Chance

1%

Buy Yes

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 10 minutes ago. Ends Nov 30, 3:00 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share
How this market is decidedShow

If Jay Obernolte wins the House Minority Leader election for the 120th Congress, then the market resolves to Yes. For this indirect election, the winner is the candidate elected House Minority Leader by the House Democratic Caucus or the House Republican Conference of whichever party holds the minority in the 120th Congress, as certified by that body. A later change in the office does not affect resolution. If the minority party selects someone not listed, every market resolves NO. This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.