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KalshiKalshi· Science and Technology

Above 40 mpox clade Ib cases in the United States during 2026

Pays out if the result is above 40.

Chance

20%

Buy Yes

23¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

83¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 10 minutes ago. Ends Jan 1, 2:59 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

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How this market is decidedShow

If the total number of mpox clade Ib cases reported in the United States during 2026 is above 40, then the market resolves to Yes. Cases are determined at 10:00 AM ET on the Expiration Date (January 8). Cases that actually occur between the end of the specified time period and Expiration do not count, but newly reported cases during this window do count if they are backdated to 2026. See the full rules for how Source Agencies are prioritized. This market refers exclusively to human cases.