Will YES win the 2026 Nauruan constitutional referendum on changing the country's official name from Nauru to Naoero?

If Yes wins the Nauruan constitutional referendum on changing the country's official name from Nauru to Naoero, then the market resolves to Yes. For referenda/plebiscites, the specified option must achieve the required threshold per applicable law (simple majority, supermajority, dual majority, turnout requirements). If multiple thresholds exist (e.g., majority of votes AND majority of states), all must be met. Failure to meet turnout requirements results in No. This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details.