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KalshiKalshi· Politics

Will Sean Parnell be the next Secretary of the Army before Jan 1, 2030?

Chance

40%

Buy Yes

43¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

63¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 10 minutes ago. Ends Jan 8, 3:00 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Latest trades

  • 18 hours agoBought no at 62¢$9
  • 18 hours agoBought no at 62¢$3
How this market is decidedShow

If Sean Parnell formally holds the position of Secretary of the Army before Jan 1, 2030, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes. The holder of the position at the time of Issuance is excluded. For the purposes of this Contract, only a subject who holds the position in a permanent, confirmed, elected, or otherwise non-acting and non-temporary capacity, as formally designated by the body or organization at which the position is held, is treated as formally holding the position; assumption of the role solely in an acting, interim, transitional, provisional, caretaker, pro tempore, or otherwise temporary capacity does not, by itself, satisfy the Payout Criterion. If the first qualifying permanent holder is not named in this event, each named market resolves No.